TY - JOUR ID - 61856 TI - The Effects of Demographic Transition on Government Expenditure and Income Distribution in Iran: An Application of Threshold Cointegration JO - Journal of Economic Research (Tahghighat- E- Eghtesadi) JA - JTE LA - en SN - 0039-8969 AU - samadi, ali hossein AU - Shah Ali, Leila AD - Associate Prof. of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran AD - Master of Economics, Shiraz University, Shiraz, Iran Y1 - 2017 PY - 2017 VL - 52 IS - 2 SP - 323 EP - 344 KW - Demographic Transition KW - Government Expenditure KW - income distribution KW - Threshold Cointegraion KW - Iran DO - 10.22059/jte.2017.61856 N2 - In this paper, we study the effects of demographic transition on government expenditure and Income distribution for Iran’s economy during 1969-2011 using threshold cointegration technique. The results, shows that the year 1986 is the break date of demographic transition. Therefore the whole period is divided into two regimes, 1969-1986 and 1987-2011. The main results of this paper is that, there is a threshold cointegration between demographic transition, government expenditure and income distribution. So, there is long-term equilibrium relationship between them. But, there isn’t any short-term relationship between them. Also, the results of the estimation of error correction model show that adjustment of short-term equilibrium to long-term equilibrium is faster in the second regime rather than the first one. JELClassification: J11, J13, H50, D33 UR - https://jte.ut.ac.ir/article_61856.html L1 - https://jte.ut.ac.ir/article_61856_42693986e66987653fbdd719bd0563cd.pdf ER -