Vulnerability Assessment of key economic sectors in non-operational Risk Conditions Case Study: Tehran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

Abstract

Technological developments in various sectors and considering the speed and accuracy as an integral part of the decision-making process in the age of knowledge economy, has caused the disaster economy an important role in risk assessment and management in national and regional planning. The development of models used in this area, resulted in considering indirect consequences of disasters on the economy besides its direct effect.
Although a lot of studies have been done in this field in the international dimensions, but this study in terms of thematic and geographic domain, has some innovations that makes it different from other studies. This research, with respect to the position of Tehran in GDP and its vulnerability in occurrence of some disasters such as earthquakes has selected. Using the provincial input-output table (14 parts) extraction of national input-output table with FLQ method updated by Ross method in 1390 (activity by activity given activity technology model), to calculate the vulnerability of the province in terms of the nonoperational risk. The results show that industry, wholesale, retail, repair of vehicles, transport, and communications sectors, and have higher investment priority compared with other sectors.
JEL Classification: H54, R15, R58

Keywords

References

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Journal of Economic Research (Tahghighat- E- Eghtesadi)
Volume 51, Issue 3 - Serial Number 116
October 2016
Pages 683-707

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History

  • Receive Date: 04 September 2015
  • Revise Date: 23 November 2015
  • Accept Date: 14 February 2016

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