Using a decomposition model for a 15-ye_lr period in the form of the three
scenarios of high, low and trend production growth rate, this study has predicted the
demand (End - Use) for the three energy carriers in the eGonomic production sectors include of, industry, agriculture, services, and transportation in Iranian Economics.
The results show that the demand expansion p lth for gas and electricity is sharp.
This means that due to the structural effects r nd energy intensity effects we are
witnessing an increase in consumption in all the three scenarios. The results also
indicate considerable savings in the consumption of oil derivatives resulting from a
decrease in energy intensity in low and high gro'll.1h rate scenarios.
JEL Classification: Q41, Q49
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