Evaluation of the Effect of using Technical Analysis Indexes on the Returns of Investors



In this article, the effectiveness of eight different technical indexes including simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential moving average, relative strength, commodity channel, stochastic, money flow and demand are examined by comparison between indexes returns with buy and hold returns. The results shows the return of Buy and Hold strategy is more than technical indexes in the year 2004 and is less than that in the years 2004 and 2006. This matter can be referred to the change in the market situations. The result of the repeated measures test indicates that there is no significant differences between the average returns of technical indexes and buy and hold strategy during studding years. Finally we show the coefficients of variation of some technical indexes used in this paper are lower and coefficients of variation of some other indexes are greater than coefficient of variation of buy and hold strategy.
JEL classification: C12, C32, G10, R53