Analyzing the Relation between Bank Deposit Rates and House Prices in Iran



We have studied the relation between bank deposit rates and house prices in Iran. For that, we have run some VAR models, using the following variables: real deposit rates (including 1 and 5 years deposit rates), money supply (including the high powered money and the liquidity), GDP, housing services index, and number of licenses for new houses. Our results show that a reduction in the deposit rates reduces its attraction and increases demand for housing as an alternative asset to stock wealth. In other word, we find that there is a negative relation between bank deposit rates and house prices.
JEL classification: E43, G12, R21, R31