نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
گروه اقتصاد نظری ، دانشکده اقتصاد و مدیریت ، دانشگاه شهید باهنر کرمان، کرمان، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Studying the role of money in the economy of developing countries and its effect on macroeconomic variables, analyzing monetary policies and other issues related to money, is very important in the economic planning process. Considering the role of money in the economy, it is necessary to examine the new scientific theories in this field, the long-term trend of money supply based on the scientific rules of explanation and the welfare effects caused by the money supply in Iran, according to that rule, and finally, the amount Calculate the optimal amount of money. Determining the optimal monetary rule in Iran by the optimal control method and within the framework of retrospective expectations is the aim of this research. Based on this, it is assumed that the monetary authorities solve the optimization problem according to the constraints including the equation of total supply, total demand and money demand. After estimating the above parameters from the ordinary least squares (OLS) method for the period 2001-2013, The results indicate that the growth of the real money volume has a strong and significant deviation compared to the growth of the optimal money volume, which indicates the implementation of inefficient expansionary monetary policies to achieve higher economic growth in the studied periods, which At the same time, it reacts to the growth of inflation, the production gap, and the increase in the real exchange rate.
کلیدواژهها [English]