نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 گروه اقتصاد ، دانشکده اقتصاد، مدیریت و علوم اجتماعی ، دانشگاه شیراز، شیراز، ایران.
2 گروه مدیریت بحران و سوانح، دانشگاه یورک، تورنتو، کانادا.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Prospect theory, as one of the most important theories in behavioral economics, shows that decision-makers perceive losses more than gains in conditions of uncertainty and adopt a behavior dependent on the reference point when faced with changes. This study develops the DICE model and combines it with prospect theory to present a new model, DICE-PT, that examines the impact of decision-making behaviors on climate change in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. In this model, economic and climate variables are analyzed from the perspective of cognitive biases and the paths of changes in greenhouse gas emissions, production, consumption, and investment are assessed in a behavioral framework. The findings show that decision-makers in this region follow different decision-making patterns in response to climate change, which can affect emission reduction policies and sustainable development. The innovation of this study is in developing the DICE model using prospect theory, which helps to better understand decision-making behaviors in climate policymaking.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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