نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام ، ایلام، ایران.
2 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام، ایلام، ایران
3 گروه اقتصاد، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه ایلام، ایلام، ایران.
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Financial development is a key factor in enhancing the economic dynamics of countries, while energy diversification is an important component in ensuring sustainable energy supply and reducing dependence on fossil fuel resources. This study examines the threshold role of economic growth in the impact of financial development, oil rent, and industrialization on energy diversification in Iran using data from 1980 to 2022 and the Threshold Autoregression (TAR) method. The results indicate that the effects of these variables on energy diversification depend on the economic growth threshold (per capita income of $3,704) in two distinct regimes. In the first regime, where economic growth is below the threshold, oil rent has a positive effect, whereas financial development and industrialization negatively impact energy diversification. In the second regime, where economic growth surpasses the threshold, the negative effect of industrialization diminishes, and financial development has a significant positive impact on energy diversification. These findings suggest that improving economic conditions alongside the simultaneous development of financial systems can help reduce dependence on fossil fuels and enhance the diversification of energy sources in the country.
کلیدواژهها [English]