نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استاد اقتصاد، عضو هیئتعلمی دانشگاه شهید بهشتی
2 دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه فردوسی مشهد
3 دانشجوی دکتری علوم اقتصادی، دانشگاه علامه طباطبایی
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
A basic subject in economy is change in growth of population and it’s link to other variables. If growth in population is consistent with other economic circumstances, it would lead to economic growth, otherwise it would be problematic. By using Okun's law and population structures, this paper is analysis the case for Iran for 1974-2010. Predictions are related to 2025 horizon. The results show that there is a positive relation between human capital and economic growth. Unemployment and inflation rates are negatively related to social welfare. Economic growth and unemployment are negatively related. The social welfare index and rate of women between 15- 44 to population are positively related with marriage. Finally average percent of changes up to 2025 would be between -0.17-0.38.
کلیدواژهها [English]
Okun, A. (1962). Potential GNP: Its Measurement and Significance, American Statistical Association, Proceeding of the Business and Economics Statistics Section, Alexandria, VA: American Statistical Association, 98-103.